How it finished
Croatia beat Czechia 2–1. Bawler's model had Croatia in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Czechia had 5 shots (2 on target) to Croatia's 16 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Czechia vs Croatia?
Croatia beat Czechia 2–1. Bawler's model had Croatia in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Czechia had 5 shots (2 on target) to Croatia's 16 (5), with 44% of the ball against 56%.
What was the final score in Czechia vs Croatia?
Czechia 1–2 Croatia, played on 26 Sept 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Czechia 33%, the draw 25% and Croatia 42%.
What were the stats in Czechia vs Croatia?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Shots 5–16, Shots on target 2–5, Corners 1–6, Saves 4–1, Fouls 6–9, Offsides 6–0, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Czechia vs Croatia?
Yes — both Czechia and Croatia scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Czechia vs Croatia right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Croatia or draw 67%, it finished Croatia won (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.