Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Espanyol
Team profile

Espanyol Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.7
a game
13.8 faced
On target
4.1
a game
5.2 faced
Goals
1.1 – 1.4
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Next match
23%
Espanyol win chance
vs Real Madrid · Sat 22 Aug 19:30

Espanyol prediction: for Espanyol's next match — Espanyol vs Real Madrid on Saturday 22 Aug, 19:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Real Madrid are favoured (51%).

Espanyol sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.41 expected goals a game and conceding 1.38. Next up is Real Madrid, where the model has them as underdogs at 23%.

Espanyol in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
Home 1.1Away 1.2
4.6
Corners · per game
give up 4.7
Home 5.0Away 4.2
12.7
Shots · per game
faced 13.8
Home 13.5Away 11.8
4.1
On target · per game
faced 5.2
Home 4.8Away 3.5
Last 6 games
23 May
1-1
vs Real Sociedad
3-5
17 May
2-1
@ Osasuna
2-9
13 May
2-0
vs Athletic Bilbao
-
09 May
1-2
@ Sevilla
6-4
03 May
0-2
vs Real Madrid
5-6
27 Apr
0-0
vs Levante
4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Real Madrid · Saturday 22 Aug, 19:30 UTC

Win
23%
Espanyol
Draw
25%
Loss
51%
Real Madrid
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Espanyol compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.41
Below average
Goals against
1.38
Tighter than most
Record
2W 1D 2L
5 settled
Real goals
1.4 – 1.2
For / against, per match
Scored1.41
Conceded1.38

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Espanyol fixtures (3/3).

How Bawler has done on Espanyol

80%
of high-confidence calls correct — 4 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%3/3
Result50%1/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Sat 23 Mayvs Real Sociedad
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 May@ Osasuna
High confidence: X2
Wed 13 Mayvs Athletic Club
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 09 May@ Sevilla
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Marvs Getafe
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INQuilindschy HartmanLBfrom BurnleyLoan
INGabriel MoscardoCBfrom Paris Saint-GermainLoan
INÁlex CalatravaSTfrom Castellon€5m
INUnai NúñezCBfrom Celta VigoLoan
INVanja DrkusicCBfrom Zenit St. PetersburgLoan
OUTRamon TerratsAMto Getafe€2.5m
OUTJosé SalinasLBto MalagaLoan
OUTFernando CaleroCBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTOmar SadikSTto AD CeutaLoan
OUTJosé GrageraDMto Burgos CFLoan
OUTPablo RamónCBto Racing SantanderUndisclosed
OUTLluc Castellto BurnleyUndisclosed
OUTPol Tristánto Free agentUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Espanyol and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly