Netherlands: EredivisieSunday 16 Aug, 12:30 UTC

FC Twente vPEC Zwolle

Most likely scoreline
20
11% of the time · 3.20 goals expected
FC Twente 68%Draw 21%PEC Zwolle 10%
Strongest call
FC Twente to win
88%

Twente's home win prediction rests on a commanding 1.50 expected-goals advantage, translating to a 68% win probability that reflects their superior attacking threat.

How we get there
FC TwentestepPEC Zwolle
2.08Base xG · rolling 26-match0.90
× 1.13Home advantage · Home× 0.94
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.35Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.85
Most likely outcomes
FC Twente to win
88%
Not both teams to score
54%
Over 3.5 goals
33%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Twente average 5.8 corners per game at home this season (19 competitive matches). Zwolle average 3.1 corners per game away from home this season (18 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
4
3
1
1
10
8
3
1
2
11
10
4
1
3
9
7
3
1
4
5
4
2
1
5
2
2
1
6
1
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Twente vs Zwolle — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Twente and Zwolle — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Twente 68% · draw 21% · Zwolle 10%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

⚡ Full-time recap available
FC Twente 31 PEC Zwolle
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.