FC Twente beat PEC Zwolle 3–1. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. FC Twente had 27 shots (10 on target) to PEC Zwolle's 8 (3), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
FC Twente beat PEC Zwolle 3–1. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 68% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. FC Twente had 27 shots (10 on target) to PEC Zwolle's 8 (3), with 69% of the ball against 31%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.7.
FC Twente 3–1 PEC Zwolle, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with FC Twente 68%, the draw 21% and PEC Zwolle 10%.
Full-time: Possession 69%–31%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.7, Shots 27–8, Shots on target 10–3, Shots inside box 17–5, Big chances 2–2, Corners 6–3, Saves 2–8, Fouls 11–6, Offsides 1–0.
Yes — both FC Twente and PEC Zwolle scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Twente to win 68%, it finished FC Twente won (68% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished Yes; Graded pick (as published before kickoff) — we said FC Twente to win 88%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Not both teams to score 54%, it finished Missed.