FK Qarabag vs FC Twente prediction — Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 17:00 UK

Conference League - Qualification · Thu 27 Aug · 17:00 UK
FK Qarabag 27Draw 24FC Twente 48
Our call before kickoff
73%
FC Twente or draw
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–4
Both teams score (before kick-off)
61%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

FC Twente beat FK Qarabag 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. FK Qarabag had 9 shots (1 on target) to FC Twente's 29 (10), with 39% of the ball against 61%.

FK QarabagFull-time statsFC Twente
39%Possession61%
9Shots29
1Shots on target10
1Corners9
5Saves0
21Fouls16
2Offsides2
4Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callFC Twente or draw 73%FC Twente won (48% called)
Total goals3.15
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 82%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

FK QarabagFC Twente
1.3
Goals+0.5
1.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
FC Twente to score83%
Over 1.5 goals82%
FK Qarabag to score73%
Under 3.5 goals62%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.5 / match
FC Twente in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won FK Qarabag vs FC Twente?

FC Twente beat FK Qarabag 4–1. Bawler's model had FC Twente in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 5. FK Qarabag had 9 shots (1 on target) to FC Twente's 29 (10), with 39% of the ball against 61%.

What was the final score in FK Qarabag vs FC Twente?

FK Qarabag 1–4 FC Twente, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with FK Qarabag 27%, the draw 24% and FC Twente 48%.

What were the stats in FK Qarabag vs FC Twente?

Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Shots 9–29, Shots on target 1–10, Corners 1–9, Saves 5–0, Fouls 21–16, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 4–3, Red cards 1–0.

Was Bawler's prediction for FK Qarabag vs FC Twente right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said FC Twente or draw 73%, it finished FC Twente won (48% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 5; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
FK Qarabag
Before this
20 AugAFC Twente1–0 W
All fixtures & results →FK Qarabag form →FC Twente form →