How it finished
Greece and Netherlands drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Netherlands at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Greece had 8 shots (4 on target) to Netherlands' 19 (5), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Greece vs Netherlands?
Greece and Netherlands drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Netherlands at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 2.8 goals; the match produced 4. Greece had 8 shots (4 on target) to Netherlands' 19 (5), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.2.
What was the final score in Greece vs Netherlands?
Greece 2–2 Netherlands, played on 01 Oct 2026 in the Europe: UEFA Nations League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Greece 15%, the draw 23% and Netherlands 62%.
What were the stats in Greece vs Netherlands?
Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.2, Shots 8–19, Shots on target 4–5, Shots inside box 8–14, Big chances 3–1, Corners 6–8, Saves 3–2, Fouls 6–7, Offsides 3–4, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Greece vs Netherlands?
Yes — both Greece and Netherlands scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Greece vs Netherlands right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Netherlands to win 62%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.