Internazionale vs Parma prediction — Serie A · Sat 10 Oct · 17:00 UK

Serie A · Sat 10 Oct · 17:00 UK
Internazionale 75Draw 17Parma 8
Our call before kickoff
75%
Internazionale to win
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
70%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
46%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
61%

How it finished

Internazionale beat Parma 3–0. Bawler's model had Internazionale in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Internazionale had 19 shots (6 on target) to Parma's 9 (2), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.3.

InternazionaleFull-time statsParma
59%Possession41%
2.4Expected goals (xG)0.3
19Shots9
6Shots on target2
13Shots inside box7
4Big chances0
3Corners1
2Saves4
13Fouls9
6Offsides2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callInternazionale to win 75%Internazionale won (75% called)
Total goals3.13
Both teams to score46%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

InternazionaleParma
2.4
Goals+1.7
0.7
22.3
Shots+12.5
9.8
9.2
On target+6.2
3.0
7.1
Corners+3.6
3.5
InternazionaleParma
0.6
Goals+0.4
0.2
10.4
Shots+6.0
4.4
4.1
On target+2.9
1.3
3.4
Corners+1.7
1.6
InternazionaleParma
1.8
Goals+1.4
0.5
11.9
Shots+6.5
5.4
5.0
On target+3.3
1.8
3.8
Corners+1.9
1.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Internazionale to score91%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Under 3.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals61%

First half — what we expected

Internazionale
60%
to score before half-time
Parma
24%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 70%

InternazionaleParma
10.41st-half shots4.4
4.11st-half shots on target1.3
3.41st-half corners1.6

First-half chances

65%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
46%Chance of 11+ shots<10%
74%Chance of 3+ shots on target15%
39%Chance of 5+ shots on target<10%
80%Chance of 2+ corners45%
42%Chance of 4+ corners11%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Internazionale10.411.9
Shots · Parma4.45.4
Shots on target · Internazionale4.15.0
Shots on target · Parma1.31.8
Corners · Internazionale3.43.8
Corners · Parma1.61.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Internazionale form (last 6)W W L W D W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Internazionale 4 · Draws 1 · Parma 0
Parma in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Inter 2–0 Parma
Jan 2026Parma 0–2 Inter
Apr 2025Parma 2–2 Inter
Dec 2024Inter 3–1 Parma
Jan 2023Inter 2–1 Parma
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Internazionale vs Parma?

Internazionale beat Parma 3–0. Bawler's model had Internazionale in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Internazionale had 19 shots (6 on target) to Parma's 9 (2), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.3.

What was the final score in Internazionale vs Parma?

Internazionale 3–0 Parma, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Internazionale 75%, the draw 17% and Parma 8%.

What were the stats in Internazionale vs Parma?

Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.3, Shots 19–9, Shots on target 6–2, Shots inside box 13–7, Big chances 4–0, Corners 3–1, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–9, Offsides 6–2.

Did both teams score in Internazionale vs Parma?

No. It finished 3–0, so Parma failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Internazionale vs Parma right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Internazionale to win 75%, it finished Internazionale won (75% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →Internazionale form →Parma form →