KV Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren prediction — Belgian Pro League · Sun 20 Sept · 18:15 UK

Belgian Pro League · Sun 20 Sept · 18:15 UK
KV Kortrijk 35Draw 27Waasland-Beveren 39
Our call before kickoff
65%
Waasland-Beveren or draw
Missed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

KV Kortrijk beat Waasland-Beveren 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Waasland-Beveren at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KV Kortrijk 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. KV Kortrijk had 20 shots (4 on target) to Waasland-Beveren's 7 (1), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.4.

KV KortrijkFull-time statsWaasland-Beveren
43%Possession57%
2.3Expected goals (xG)0.4
20Shots7
4Shots on target1
14Shots inside box6
5Big chances0
2Corners4
1Saves3
20Fouls9
3Offsides1
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callWaasland-Beveren or draw 65%KV Kortrijk won (35% called)
Total goals2.81
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Missed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

KV KortrijkWaasland-Beveren
1.4
Goals+0.1
1.5
KV KortrijkWaasland-Beveren
0.5
Goals
0.5
KV KortrijkWaasland-Beveren
0.9
Goals+0.1
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals78%
Waasland-Beveren to score77%
KV Kortrijk to score75%
Under 3.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

KV Kortrijk
46%
to score before half-time
Waasland-Beveren
48%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.1 / match
Waasland-Beveren in their league tableLower half
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won KV Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren?

KV Kortrijk beat Waasland-Beveren 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Waasland-Beveren at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KV Kortrijk 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. KV Kortrijk had 20 shots (4 on target) to Waasland-Beveren's 7 (1), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.4.

What was the final score in KV Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren?

KV Kortrijk 1–0 Waasland-Beveren, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KV Kortrijk 35%, the draw 27% and Waasland-Beveren 39%.

What were the stats in KV Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–0.4, Shots 20–7, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 14–6, Big chances 5–0, Corners 2–4, Saves 1–3, Fouls 20–9, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 4–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in KV Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren?

No. It finished 1–0, so Waasland-Beveren failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for KV Kortrijk vs Waasland-Beveren right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Waasland-Beveren or draw 65%, it finished KV Kortrijk won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Jupiler Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →KV Kortrijk form →Waasland-Beveren form →