KV Kortrijk beat Waasland-Beveren 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Waasland-Beveren at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KV Kortrijk 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. KV Kortrijk had 20 shots (4 on target) to Waasland-Beveren's 7 (1), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
KV Kortrijk beat Waasland-Beveren 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Waasland-Beveren at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave KV Kortrijk 35%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 1 was scored. KV Kortrijk had 20 shots (4 on target) to Waasland-Beveren's 7 (1), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 0.4.
KV Kortrijk 1–0 Waasland-Beveren, played on 20 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with KV Kortrijk 35%, the draw 27% and Waasland-Beveren 39%.
Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–0.4, Shots 20–7, Shots on target 4–1, Shots inside box 14–6, Big chances 5–0, Corners 2–4, Saves 1–3, Fouls 20–9, Offsides 3–1, Yellow cards 4–1, Red cards 0–1.
No. It finished 1–0, so Waasland-Beveren failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Waasland-Beveren or draw 65%, it finished KV Kortrijk won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.