Lens beat AJ Auxerre 5–2. Bawler's model had Lens in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Lens had 12 shots (9 on target) to AJ Auxerre's 10 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 4.5 to 1.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Lens beat AJ Auxerre 5–2. Bawler's model had Lens in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Lens had 12 shots (9 on target) to AJ Auxerre's 10 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 4.5 to 1.8.
Lens 5–2 AJ Auxerre, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lens 64%, the draw 22% and AJ Auxerre 15%.
Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 4.5–1.8, Shots 12–10, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 10–5, Big chances 9–2, Corners 4–7, Saves 2–4, Fouls 6–21, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.
Yes — both Lens and AJ Auxerre scored, finishing 5–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lens to win 64%, it finished Lens won (64% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Lens or draw 85%, it finished Landed.