Lens vs AJ Auxerre prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 16:15 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 22 Aug · 16:15 UK
Lens 64Draw 22AJ Auxerre 15
Our call before kickoff
64%
Lens to win
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 5–2
Both teams score (before kick-off)
50%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Lens beat AJ Auxerre 5–2. Bawler's model had Lens in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Lens had 12 shots (9 on target) to AJ Auxerre's 10 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 4.5 to 1.8.

LensFull-time statsAJ Auxerre
53%Possession47%
4.5Expected goals (xG)1.8
12Shots10
9Shots on target4
10Shots inside box5
9Big chances2
4Corners7
2Saves4
6Fouls21
0Offsides3
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callLens to win 64%Lens won (64% called)
Total goals2.97
Both teams to score50%Yes
Graded pickLens or draw 85%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

LensAJ Auxerre
2.0
Goals+1.2
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Lens to score87%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Lens 3 · Draws 1 · AJ Auxerre 1
AJ Auxerre in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Jan 2026Lens 1–0 Auxerre
Oct 2025Auxerre 1–2 Lens
Apr 2025Lens 0–4 Auxerre
Dec 2024Auxerre 2–2 Lens
Jun 2023Auxerre 1–3 Lens
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Lens vs AJ Auxerre?

Lens beat AJ Auxerre 5–2. Bawler's model had Lens in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Lens had 12 shots (9 on target) to AJ Auxerre's 10 (4), with 53% of the ball against 47%. Expected goals finished 4.5 to 1.8.

What was the final score in Lens vs AJ Auxerre?

Lens 5–2 AJ Auxerre, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the FRANCE: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Lens 64%, the draw 22% and AJ Auxerre 15%.

What were the stats in Lens vs AJ Auxerre?

Full-time: Possession 53%–47%, Expected goals (xG) 4.5–1.8, Shots 12–10, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 10–5, Big chances 9–2, Corners 4–7, Saves 2–4, Fouls 6–21, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in Lens vs AJ Auxerre?

Yes — both Lens and AJ Auxerre scored, finishing 5–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Lens vs AJ Auxerre right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Lens to win 64%, it finished Lens won (64% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Lens or draw 85%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
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