France: Ligue 1Saturday 22 Aug, 15:15 UTC

Lens vAJ Auxerre

Most likely scoreline
2–0
12% of the time · 3.01 goals expected
Lens 61%Draw 22%AJ Auxerre 16%
How we get there
LensstepAJ Auxerre
2.20Base xG · rolling 26-match0.81
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.20Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.81

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Lens average 6.8 corners per game at home this season (17 competitive matches). Auxerre average 4.1 corners per game away from home this season (17 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
4
2
1
11
9
4
1
2
12
10
4
1
3
9
7
3
1
4
5
4
2
5
2
2
1
6
1
1
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Lens fixtures & form →AJ Auxerre fixtures & form →

Lens vs Auxerre — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Lens and Auxerre — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Lens 61% · draw 22% · Auxerre 16%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Lens predictions & form →Auxerre predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.