How it finished
Málaga and Deportivo drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Málaga at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Málaga had 13 shots (2 on target) to Deportivo's 6 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Málaga vs Deportivo?
Málaga and Deportivo drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Málaga at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Málaga had 13 shots (2 on target) to Deportivo's 6 (4), with 55% of the ball against 45%.
What was the final score in Málaga vs Deportivo?
Málaga 1–1 Deportivo, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Málaga 48%, the draw 26% and Deportivo 26%.
What were the stats in Málaga vs Deportivo?
Full-time: Possession 55%–45%, Shots 13–6, Shots on target 2–4, Corners 8–4, Saves 4–1, Fouls 12–12, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–4.
Did both teams score in Málaga vs Deportivo?
Yes — both Málaga and Deportivo scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Málaga vs Deportivo right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Málaga or draw 74%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Missed.