Spain: La LigaMonday 24 Aug, 19:30 UTC
Málaga vDeportivo
Most likely scoreline
0–0
22% of the time · 1.50 goals expected
Málaga 34%Draw 33%Deportivo 33%
How we get there
MálagastepDeportivo0.67Base xG · rolling 26-match0.83
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
0.67Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.83
Early projection
These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.
Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
22
19
8
2
1
15
12
5
1
2
5
4
2
3
1
1
4
5
6
home windrawaway win
More predictions for these teams
Málaga vs Deportivo — Head-to-Head
This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Málaga and Deportivo — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.
The model's verdict for this fixture: Málaga 34% · draw 33% · Deportivo 33%.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.