Malta vs Liechtenstein prediction — International friendlies · Sun 27 Sept · 17:30 UK · Neutral venue

International friendlies · Sun 27 Sept · 17:30 UK · Neutral venue
Malta 80Draw 14Liechtenstein 6
Our call before kickoff
80%
Malta to win
Landed
3.4
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
78%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
46%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
66%

How it finished

Malta beat Liechtenstein 2–0. Bawler's model had Malta in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Malta had 14 shots (5 on target) to Liechtenstein's 5 (0), with 64% of the ball against 36%.

MaltaFull-time statsLiechtenstein
64%Possession36%
14Shots5
5Shots on target0
5Corners2
12Fouls16
0Offsides1
0Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callMalta to win 80%Malta won (80% called)
Total goals3.42
Both teams to score46%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

MaltaLiechtenstein
2.7
Goals+2.1
0.7
MaltaLiechtenstein
0.7
Goals+0.4
0.3
MaltaLiechtenstein
2.0
Goals+1.6
0.4

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Malta to score93%
Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%

First half — what we expected

Malta
70%
to score before half-time
Liechtenstein
26%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%

Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+2.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 2Malta 2 · Draws 0 · Liechtenstein 0

Head to head

Nov 2024Malta 2–0 Liechtenstein
Nov 2020Malta 3–0 Liechtenstein
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Malta vs Liechtenstein?

Malta beat Liechtenstein 2–0. Bawler's model had Malta in front at 80% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 2 were scored. Malta had 14 shots (5 on target) to Liechtenstein's 5 (0), with 64% of the ball against 36%.

What was the final score in Malta vs Liechtenstein?

Malta 2–0 Liechtenstein, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Malta 80%, the draw 14% and Liechtenstein 6%.

What were the stats in Malta vs Liechtenstein?

Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Shots 14–5, Shots on target 5–0, Corners 5–2, Fouls 12–16, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 0–2.

Did both teams score in Malta vs Liechtenstein?

No. It finished 2–0, so Liechtenstein failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Malta vs Liechtenstein right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Malta to win 80%, it finished Malta won (80% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

All fixtures & results →Malta form →Liechtenstein form →