How it finished
Seattle Sounders FC beat New England Revolution 3–0. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Seattle Sounders FC 29%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. New England Revolution had 13 shots (5 on target) to Seattle Sounders FC's 9 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC?
Seattle Sounders FC beat New England Revolution 3–0. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Seattle Sounders FC 29%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. New England Revolution had 13 shots (5 on target) to Seattle Sounders FC's 9 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 1.2.
What was the final score in New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC?
New England Revolution 0–3 Seattle Sounders FC, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with New England Revolution 46%, the draw 25% and Seattle Sounders FC 29%.
What were the stats in New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.2, Shots 13–9, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 8–7, Big chances 0–2, Corners 8–5, Saves 2–5, Fouls 6–15, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–2.
Did both teams score in New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC?
No. It finished 0–3, so New England Revolution failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said New England Revolution or draw 71%, it finished Seattle Sounders FC won (29% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.