How it finished
Newcastle United and Liverpool drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Newcastle United at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Newcastle United had 13 shots (4 on target) to Liverpool's 27 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Newcastle United vs Liverpool?
Newcastle United and Liverpool drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Newcastle United at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Newcastle United had 13 shots (4 on target) to Liverpool's 27 (7), with 39% of the ball against 61%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 2.7.
What was the final score in Newcastle United vs Liverpool?
Newcastle United 2–2 Liverpool, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Newcastle United 38%, the draw 25% and Liverpool 37%.
What were the stats in Newcastle United vs Liverpool?
Full-time: Possession 39%–61%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.7, Shots 13–27, Shots on target 4–7, Shots inside box 6–16, Big chances 3–3, Corners 2–6, Saves 5–3, Fouls 16–15, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 5–3.
Did both teams score in Newcastle United vs Liverpool?
Yes — both Newcastle United and Liverpool scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Newcastle United vs Liverpool right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Newcastle United or draw 63%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.