Newcastle
Premier League · Team page

Newcastle

FormWDWLW
79%
Our hit rate on NEW
14
Forecasts settled

Fixture run · next 2

Colour = model difficulty for Newcastle
AVL (H)
17 Oct
CRY (A)
25 Oct

This season · per game

Bar = vs Premier League average · 7 matches since 1 Jul 2026
13.0lge avg 14.4
Shots per game
4.4lge avg 4.8
Shots on target per game
1.9lge avg 1.7
Goals scored per game
1.6lge avg 1.4
Goals conceded per game
1.4lge avg 1.6
xG for per game
1.5lge avg 1.4
xG against per game
6.1lge avg 4.9
Corners per game
Next fixture · Sat 17 Oct 17:30
NewcastleNewcastlevsAston VillaAston Villa
Medium confidence · Both teams to score61%
Newcastle win41%
Draw25%
Aston Villa win33%
Most likely score1-1 · 11%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams to scoreYes · 61%
Locked ~17:00 UK, before kickoffFull match preview →
Key players · attacking outputPer 90 · this season
NewcastleYoane WissaFWD · 0.48 xG per 900.48
NewcastleJoseph WillockMID · 0.26 xG per 900.26
NewcastleAnthony ElangaFWD · 0.16 xG per 900.16
Our record on Newcastle · settled in publicFull track record →
12 OctCoventry v NewcastleOver 1.5 goals81%WON
19 SeptNewcastle v HullNewcastle to win72%WON
14 SeptLeeds v NewcastleOver 1.5 goals81%WON
8 SeptMillwall v NewcastleOver 1.5 goals81%LOST
NewcastleNewcastle· continues from the hero above57 competitive matches · friendlies excluded · updated daily

Form · last 6

Newest first · click a tile for the settled forecast
At home · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals2.01.4
Shots13.912.8
On target5.54.4
Corners6.44.8
Away · per gameThey produceThey allow
Goals1.31.5
Shots12.513.8
On target4.54.9
Corners5.55.5
At home · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.90.4
Shots6.15.9
On target2.61.8
Corners3.12.6
28 of the 29 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 1st halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.80.7
Shots5.76.3
On target2.42.4
Corners2.93.0
27 of the 28 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
At home · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals1.01.0
Shots7.76.9
On target2.82.6
Corners3.32.4
28 of the 29 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.
Away · per game · 2nd halfThey produceThey allow
Goals0.50.8
Shots6.37.7
On target2.02.6
Corners2.32.6
27 of the 28 matches counted carry a half-by-half breakdown.

Squad · 25 players

Coach Matthias Jaissle · ★ = model's key threats · from FotMob, 8 Oct 2026
Goalkeepers
1Nick Pope34 · ENG
21Lukás Hornícek24 · CZE
24Ewen Jaouen20 · FRA
29Mark Gillespie34 · ENG
Defenders
3Lewis Hall22 · ENG
4Sven Botman26 · NED
5Fabian Schär34 · SUI
12Malick Thiaw25 · GER
+2 more
33Daniel Burn34 · ENG
37Amar Dedić24 · BIH
Midfielders
6Nico González24 · ESP
7Joelinton30 · BRA
8Aladji Bamba20 · FRA
14Sean Steur18 · NED
28Joseph Willock★27 · ENG
+2 more
41Jacob Ramsey25 · ENG
67Lewis Miley20 · ENG
Forwards
9Yoane Wissa★30 · COD
10William Osula23 · DEN
11Harvey Barnes28 · ENG
17Bazoumana Touré20 · CIV
19Anthony Elanga★24 · SWE
+2 more
23Jacob Murphy31 · ENG

Transfer desk · this window

All 19 moves →
OUTLeo ShaharRB · to AroucaLoan7 Sept
OUTNick WoltemadeST · to JuventusLoan1 Sept
INMatias Fernandez-PardoST · from Lille€60m1 SeptINNico GonzálezDM · from Manchester City€56m26 AugINAmar DedićRB · from Benfica€36m18 Aug

Common questions

Who do Newcastle play next?

Newcastle play Aston Villa at home on Sat 17 Oct 17:30 UK. The published call is both teams to score, at 61%. Read the full match preview

What is the model's Newcastle v Aston Villa call?

Medium confidence: Both teams to score, at 61%. The forecast is published and locked at about 17:00 UK, usually around two days before kickoff, so it can be graded afterwards. See every market for this fixture

How accurate has Bawler been on Newcastle?

11 of 14 settled Newcastle forecasts were right (79%). Every one was published before kickoff and graded in public. See the full track record

What are Newcastle averaging this season?

13.0 shots and 1.9 goals a game, conceding 1.6, counted over 7 competitive matches (since 1 Jul 2026) with friendlies excluded — every one a counted match result, not a projection. Compare it with the rest of the league

Who have Newcastle signed and sold?

19 confirmed moves in the current window. The newest in: Matias Fernandez-Pardo, Nico González, Amar Dedić. The newest out: Leo Shahar, Nick Woltemade. 9 of this club's moves have a written report. Follow the transfer desk

Newcastle moves we wrote up

9 written up · 8 more confirmed in the windowTransfer desk →
In
Matias Fernandez-PardoST · from Lille€60m1 Sept
Nico GonzálezDM · from Manchester City€56m26 Aug
Amar DedićRB · from Benfica€36m18 Aug
Lukás HornícekGK · from Braga€30m3 Aug
Aladji BambaDM · from Monaco€36m24 Jul
Sean SteurCM · from Ajax€23m9 Jul
Out
Bruno GuimarãesCM · to Arsenal€88m8 Aug
Sandro TonaliCM · to Tottenham Hotspur€108m6 Jul
Anthony GordonLW · to Barcelona€80m29 May

The Newcastle fixtures after that

Win, draw and loss are Newcastle's own chances
DateFixtureWinDrawLossO/U 2.5BTTSStrongest call
Sun 25 Oct@ Crystal Palace28%24%48%Over 62%Yes 63%Both teams to score 63%

Premier League table

FotMob, 13 Oct 2026
#TeamPWDLGF-GAGDPts
1Man City660016-5+1118
2Arsenal650110-5+515
3Brighton641118-5+1313
4Brentford624012-6+610
5Everton62408-5+310
6Chelsea631215-13+210
7Leeds62318-5+39
8Hull62318-6+29
9Liverpool62317-709
10Ipswich63039-12-39
11Newcastle622210-13-38
12Crystal Palace62139-12-37
13Man United61329-906
14Coventry62045-11-66
15Nottm Forest61235-8-35
16Aston Villa61236-11-55
17Sunderland61146-12-64
18Bournemouth60337-13-63
19Tottenham60333-9-63
20Fulham60246-10-42