How it finished
Coventry City beat Nottingham Forest 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Coventry City 20%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Nottingham Forest had 24 shots (3 on target) to Coventry City's 10 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.7, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City?
Coventry City beat Nottingham Forest 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Nottingham Forest at 56% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Coventry City 20%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 1 was scored. Nottingham Forest had 24 shots (3 on target) to Coventry City's 10 (3), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 0.7, so Nottingham Forest created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City?
Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry City, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the England: Premier League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Nottingham Forest 56%, the draw 24% and Coventry City 20%.
What were the stats in Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City?
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–0.7, Shots 24–10, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 12–5, Big chances 1–1, Corners 6–2, Saves 2–2, Fouls 12–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City?
No. It finished 0–1, so Nottingham Forest failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Nottingham Forest or draw 80%, it finished Coventry City won (20% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Missed.