How it finished
Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Papua New Guinea at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 4.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Papua New Guinea had 10 shots (10 on target) to Solomon Islands' 10 (10), with 26% of the ball against 74%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this match — one of these national teams has too few recorded games for us to forecast them.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 83%
Shots and corners are not shown for international matches yet — national teams play too few games for us to forecast them well.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Papua New Guinea at 52% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 21%. It forecast 4.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Papua New Guinea had 10 shots (10 on target) to Solomon Islands' 10 (10), with 26% of the ball against 74%.
What was the final score in Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
Papua New Guinea 1–1 Solomon Islands, played on 30 Sept 2026 in the World: International Friendly. Bawler's model had gone into it with Papua New Guinea 52%, the draw 21% and Solomon Islands 27%.
What were the stats in Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
Full-time: Possession 26%–74%, Shots 10–10, Shots on target 10–10, Corners 10–3.
Did both teams score in Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands?
Yes — both Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 74% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Papua New Guinea or draw 73%, it finished Draw (21% called); Total goals — we said 4.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 74%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 91%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Papua New Guinea to win 52%, it finished Missed.