How it finished
Parma and Monza drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Monza at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Parma had 7 shots (3 on target) to Monza's 16 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 60%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Parma vs Monza?
Parma and Monza drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Monza at 37% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals and the match produced 2. Parma had 7 shots (3 on target) to Monza's 16 (5), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.7.
What was the final score in Parma vs Monza?
Parma 1–1 Monza, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Parma 34%, the draw 29% and Monza 37%.
What were the stats in Parma vs Monza?
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.7, Shots 7–16, Shots on target 3–5, Shots inside box 7–13, Big chances 1–5, Corners 6–3, Saves 4–2, Fouls 16–16, Offsides 0–4, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Parma vs Monza?
Yes — both Parma and Monza scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Parma vs Monza right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Monza or draw 66%, it finished Draw (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes.