How it finished
Brentford beat Reading 2–1. Bawler's model had Brentford in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Reading had 17 shots (3 on target) to Brentford's 24 (8), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 3.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Reading vs Brentford?
Brentford beat Reading 2–1. Bawler's model had Brentford in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Reading had 17 shots (3 on target) to Brentford's 24 (8), with 29% of the ball against 71%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 3.2.
What was the final score in Reading vs Brentford?
Reading 1–2 Brentford, played on 15 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Reading 21%, the draw 23% and Brentford 55%.
What were the stats in Reading vs Brentford?
Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–3.2, Shots 17–24, Shots on target 3–8, Shots inside box 10–16, Big chances 3–8, Corners 5–7, Saves 7–2, Fouls 8–11, Offsides 2–3.
Did both teams score in Reading vs Brentford?
Yes — both Reading and Brentford scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Reading vs Brentford right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brentford or draw 79%, it finished Brentford won (55% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.