USA: MLSSunday 16 Aug, 01:30 UTC

Real Salt Lake vMinnesota United FC

Most likely scoreline
1–1
13% of the time · 2.50 goals expected
Real Salt Lake 44%Draw 30%Minnesota United FC 26%
Strongest call
Over 1.5 goals
85%
How we get there
Real Salt LakestepMinnesota United FC
1.40Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.40Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10
Most likely outcomes
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
27%

Model probabilities for this fixture, ordered by likelihood. Estimates from rolling expected goals — not guarantees.

Real Salt Lake average 5.1 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Minnesota United average 4.4 corners per game away from home this season (24 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
9
5
2
1
1
11
13
7
3
1
2
8
9
5
2
3
4
4
2
1
4
1
1
1
5
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Real Salt Lake fixtures & form →Minnesota United FC fixtures & form →

Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 23 May 2026, Real Salt Lake have won 0, Minnesota United have won 0, with 1 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
23 May 2026Minnesota United 1–1 Real Salt LakeUSA: MLS

The model's verdict for this fixture: Real Salt Lake 44% · draw 30% · Minnesota United 26%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Real Salt Lake predictions & form →Minnesota United predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
⚡ Full-time recap available
Real Salt Lake 1–1 Minnesota United FC
See how the model called it · call-by-call verdict · xG vs actual →
More match predictions ▶
Betting picks & odds for this match (18+) →

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.