How it finished
Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Real Salt Lake had 13 shots (7 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 15 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Real Salt Lake at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 30%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 2 were scored. Real Salt Lake had 13 shots (7 on target) to Minnesota United FC's 15 (3), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.7.
What was the final score in Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
Real Salt Lake 1–1 Minnesota United FC, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 44%, the draw 30% and Minnesota United FC 26%.
What were the stats in Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.7, Shots 13–15, Shots on target 7–3, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 4–4, Corners 7–10, Saves 1–7, Fouls 7–12, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 4–1.
Did both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
Yes — both Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United FC scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Real Salt Lake or draw 74%, it finished Draw (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 85%, it finished Landed.