How it finished
Royal Charleroi SC beat Cercle Brugge KSV 3–2. Bawler's model had Royal Charleroi SC in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. Royal Charleroi SC had 14 shots (7 on target) to Cercle Brugge KSV's 7 (6), with 64% of the ball against 36%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 2.1, so Cercle Brugge KSV created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV?
Royal Charleroi SC beat Cercle Brugge KSV 3–2. Bawler's model had Royal Charleroi SC in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. Royal Charleroi SC had 14 shots (7 on target) to Cercle Brugge KSV's 7 (6), with 64% of the ball against 36%. On expected goals it was 2.0 to 2.1, so Cercle Brugge KSV created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV?
Royal Charleroi SC 3–2 Cercle Brugge KSV, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Royal Charleroi SC 58%, the draw 22% and Cercle Brugge KSV 20%.
What were the stats in Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV?
Full-time: Possession 64%–36%, Expected goals (xG) 2.0–2.1, Shots 14–7, Shots on target 7–6, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 3–3, Corners 3–2, Saves 4–4, Fouls 15–14, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV?
Yes — both Royal Charleroi SC and Cercle Brugge KSV scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Royal Charleroi SC vs Cercle Brugge KSV right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Royal Charleroi SC or draw 80%, it finished Royal Charleroi SC won (58% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.