Sheffield United beat Lincoln City 3–0. Bawler's model had Sheffield United in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Sheffield United had 10 shots (5 on target) to Lincoln City's 12 (4), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.3, so Lincoln City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 59%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Sheffield United beat Lincoln City 3–0. Bawler's model had Sheffield United in front at 41% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Sheffield United had 10 shots (5 on target) to Lincoln City's 12 (4), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.3, so Lincoln City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Sheffield United 3–0 Lincoln City, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sheffield United 41%, the draw 27% and Lincoln City 31%.
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.3, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 5–9, Big chances 1–3, Corners 2–2, Saves 4–2, Fouls 14–17, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 4–3.
No. It finished 3–0, so Lincoln City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sheffield United or draw 69%, it finished Sheffield United won (41% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 55%, it finished Missed.