SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais prediction — Europa League · Wed 16 Sept · 20:00 UK

Europa League · Wed 16 Sept · 20:00 UK
SK Sturm Graz 26Draw 25Stade Rennais 48
Our call before kickoff
74%
Stade Rennais or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

SK Sturm Graz and Stade Rennais drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Stade Rennais at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. SK Sturm Graz had 11 shots (4 on target) to Stade Rennais' 23 (5).

SK Sturm GrazFull-time statsStade Rennais
11Shots23
4Shots on target5
5Corners4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callStade Rennais or draw 74%Draw (25% called)
Total goals2.90
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

SK Sturm GrazStade Rennais
1.2
Goals+0.5
1.7
SK Sturm GrazStade Rennais
0.4
Goals+0.1
0.5
SK Sturm GrazStade Rennais
0.8
Goals+0.4
1.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Stade Rennais to score82%
Over 1.5 goals78%
SK Sturm Graz to score70%
Under 3.5 goals67%

First half — what we expected

SK Sturm Graz
41%
to score before half-time
Stade Rennais
53%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)-0.5 / match
Stade Rennais in their league tableTop quarter
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais?

SK Sturm Graz and Stade Rennais drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Stade Rennais at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 2.9 goals; nobody scored. SK Sturm Graz had 11 shots (4 on target) to Stade Rennais' 23 (5).

What was the final score in SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais?

SK Sturm Graz 0–0 Stade Rennais, played on 16 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with SK Sturm Graz 26%, the draw 25% and Stade Rennais 48%.

What were the stats in SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais?

Full-time: Shots 11–23, Shots on target 4–5, Corners 5–4.

Did both teams score in SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais?

No. It finished 0–0, so SK Sturm Graz failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Stade Rennais or draw 74%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →SK Sturm Graz form →Stade Rennais form →