How it finished
Royal Charleroi SC beat Standard Liege 1–0. Bawler's model had Royal Charleroi SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Standard Liege had 16 shots (2 on target) to Royal Charleroi SC's 11 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC?
Royal Charleroi SC beat Standard Liege 1–0. Bawler's model had Royal Charleroi SC in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals; only 1 was scored. Standard Liege had 16 shots (2 on target) to Royal Charleroi SC's 11 (4), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.5 to 1.6.
What was the final score in Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC?
Standard Liege 0–1 Royal Charleroi SC, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Standard Liege 32%, the draw 25% and Royal Charleroi SC 42%.
What were the stats in Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–1.6, Shots 16–11, Shots on target 2–4, Shots inside box 8–8, Big chances 1–1, Corners 6–8, Saves 3–2, Fouls 17–8, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC?
No. It finished 0–1, so Standard Liege failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Standard Liege vs Royal Charleroi SC right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Royal Charleroi SC or draw 68%, it finished Royal Charleroi SC won (42% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Missed.