Swansea City vs Norwich City prediction — Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK

Championship · Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK
Swansea City 42Draw 26Norwich City 31
Our call before kickoff
69%
Swansea City or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
71%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
58%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Swansea City beat Norwich City 2–1. Bawler's model had Swansea City in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Swansea City had 12 shots (8 on target) to Norwich City's 11 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.6.

Swansea CityFull-time statsNorwich City
57%Possession43%
2.2Expected goals (xG)0.6
12Shots11
8Shots on target5
7Shots inside box7
3Big chances1
3Corners2
4Saves5
10Fouls8
2Offsides6
1Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSwansea City or draw 69%Swansea City won (42% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score58%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 78%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Swansea CityNorwich City
1.6
Goals+0.2
1.3
15.7
Shots+4.8
10.9
5.7
On target+0.6
5.2
4.3
Corners+0.2
4.1
Swansea CityNorwich City
0.5
Goals
0.4
7.1
Shots+2.1
5.0
2.5
On target
2.4
2.0
Corners+0.1
1.9
Swansea CityNorwich City
1.1
Goals+0.2
0.9
8.6
Shots+2.7
5.9
3.3
On target+0.5
2.8
2.3
Corners+0.1
2.2

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Swansea City to score79%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Norwich City to score73%
Under 3.5 goals68%

First half — what we expected

Swansea City
47%
to score before half-time
Norwich City
45%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 71%

Swansea CityNorwich City
7.11st-half shots5.0
2.51st-half shots on target2.4
2.01st-half corners1.9

First-half chances

65%Chance of 6+ shots39%
41%Chance of 8+ shots18%
88%Chance of 1+ shots on target88%
43%Chance of 3+ shots on target42%
82%Chance of 1+ corners80%
33%Chance of 3+ corners30%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Swansea City7.18.6
Shots · Norwich City5.05.9
Shots on target · Swansea City2.53.3
Shots on target · Norwich City2.42.8
Corners · Swansea City2.02.3
Corners · Norwich City1.92.2
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Swansea City form (last 6)W D L W W W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Swansea City 2 · Draws 2 · Norwich City 1
Norwich City in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2026Norwich City 1–1 Swansea City
Oct 2025Swansea City 2–1 Norwich City
Jan 2025Norwich City 5–1 Swansea City
Sept 2024Swansea City 1–0 Norwich City
Apr 2024Norwich City 2–2 Swansea City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Swansea City beat Norwich City 2–1. Bawler's model had Swansea City in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Swansea City had 12 shots (8 on target) to Norwich City's 11 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 0.6.

What was the final score in Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Swansea City 2–1 Norwich City, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Swansea City 42%, the draw 26% and Norwich City 31%.

What were the stats in Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–0.6, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 8–5, Shots inside box 7–7, Big chances 3–1, Corners 3–2, Saves 4–5, Fouls 10–8, Offsides 2–6, Yellow cards 1–1.

Did both teams score in Swansea City vs Norwich City?

Yes — both Swansea City and Norwich City scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Swansea City vs Norwich City right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Swansea City or draw 69%, it finished Swansea City won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →Swansea City form →Norwich City form →