How it finished
Toronto FC beat New England Revolution 2–1. Bawler's model had Toronto FC in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Toronto FC had 3 shots (1 on target) to New England Revolution's 24 (7), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 0.3 to 2.2, so New England Revolution created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Toronto FC beat New England Revolution 2–1. Bawler's model had Toronto FC in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Toronto FC had 3 shots (1 on target) to New England Revolution's 24 (7), with 29% of the ball against 71%. On expected goals it was 0.3 to 2.2, so New England Revolution created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Toronto FC 2–1 New England Revolution, played on 16 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Toronto FC 40%, the draw 32% and New England Revolution 28%.
What were the stats in Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Full-time: Possession 29%–71%, Expected goals (xG) 0.3–2.2, Shots 3–24, Shots on target 1–7, Shots inside box 2–17, Big chances 0–4, Corners 0–9, Saves 5–0, Fouls 11–5, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 1–0.
Did both teams score in Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Yes — both Toronto FC and New England Revolution scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Toronto FC vs New England Revolution right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Toronto FC or draw 72%, it finished Toronto FC won (40% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 79%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 50%, it finished Landed.