Union St.-Gilloise beat Viktoria Plzen 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Viktoria Plzen at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Union St.-Gilloise 31%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Viktoria Plzen had 14 shots (5 on target) to Union St.-Gilloise's 22 (13), with 49% of the ball against 51%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Union St.-Gilloise beat Viktoria Plzen 3–0. Bawler's model favoured Viktoria Plzen at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Union St.-Gilloise 31%. It forecast 2.6 goals and the match produced 3. Viktoria Plzen had 14 shots (5 on target) to Union St.-Gilloise's 22 (13), with 49% of the ball against 51%.
Viktoria Plzen 0–3 Union St.-Gilloise, played on 17 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Viktoria Plzen 41%, the draw 28% and Union St.-Gilloise 31%.
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Shots 14–22, Shots on target 5–13, Corners 5–1, Saves 10–4, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 0–3, so Viktoria Plzen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Viktoria Plzen or draw 69%, it finished Union St.-Gilloise won (31% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Landed.