How it finished
Lommel SK beat Waasland-Beveren 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Waasland-Beveren at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lommel SK 33%. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 4. Waasland-Beveren had 9 shots (3 on target) to Lommel SK's 19 (7), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 66%
Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel SK?
Lommel SK beat Waasland-Beveren 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Waasland-Beveren at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Lommel SK 33%. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 4. Waasland-Beveren had 9 shots (3 on target) to Lommel SK's 19 (7), with 62% of the ball against 38%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.5.
What was the final score in Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel SK?
Waasland-Beveren 1–3 Lommel SK, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Belgium: Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Waasland-Beveren 38%, the draw 29% and Lommel SK 33%.
What were the stats in Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel SK?
Full-time: Possession 62%–38%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.5, Shots 9–19, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 6–13, Big chances 2–5, Corners 12–6, Saves 4–3, Fouls 6–5, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel SK?
Yes — both Waasland-Beveren and Lommel SK scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Waasland-Beveren vs Lommel SK right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Waasland-Beveren or draw 68%, it finished Lommel SK won (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 69%, it finished Landed.