How it finished
Fortuna Sittard beat Willem II 1–0. Bawler's model had Fortuna Sittard in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Willem II had 15 shots (3 on target) to Fortuna Sittard's 17 (3), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?
Fortuna Sittard beat Willem II 1–0. Bawler's model had Fortuna Sittard in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.4 goals; only 1 was scored. Willem II had 15 shots (3 on target) to Fortuna Sittard's 17 (3), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.0 to 1.3.
What was the final score in Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?
Willem II 0–1 Fortuna Sittard, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Willem II 36%, the draw 24% and Fortuna Sittard 40%.
What were the stats in Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–1.3, Shots 15–17, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 1–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 2–3, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 3–1.
Did both teams score in Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard?
No. It finished 0–1, so Willem II failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fortuna Sittard or draw 64%, it finished Fortuna Sittard won (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.4, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Missed.