Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Athletic Bilbao
Team profile

Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Per-game numbers from 48 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
13.0
a game
9.9 faced
On target
4.2
a game
4.4 faced
Goals
1.1 – 1.5
scored – conceded
a game, 48 matches
Next match
57%
Athletic Bilbao win chance
vs Sevilla · Sat 22 Aug 15:00

Athletic Bilbao prediction: for Athletic Bilbao's next match — Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla on Saturday 22 Aug, 15:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Athletic Bilbao win looks most likely (57%).

Athletic Bilbao sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.45 expected goals a game and conceding 1.47. They have struggled lately, losing 3 of their last 4. Next up is Sevilla, where the model makes them clear favourites at 57%.

Athletic Bilbao in numbers

48 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
Home 1.2Away 1.1
5.2
Corners · per game
give up 3.8
Home 5.8Away 4.6
13.0
Shots · per game
faced 9.9
Home 14.1Away 11.9
4.2
On target · per game
faced 4.4
Home 4.4Away 4.1
Last 6 games
09 Aug
2-0
vs Criciuma
-
29 Jul
1-1
@ Ponte Preta
1-1
23 May
2-4
@ Real Madrid
-
17 May
1-1
vs Celta Vigo
-
13 May
0-2
@ Espanyol
-
10 May
0-1
vs Valencia
-

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Home vs Sevilla · Saturday 22 Aug, 15:00 UTC

Win
57%
This team
Draw
29%
Loss
15%
Sevilla
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Athletic Bilbao compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.45
Above average
Goals against
1.47
Leakier than most
Record
0W 1D 3L
4 settled
Real goals
0.8 – 2.0
For / against, per match
Scored1.45
Conceded1.47

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

How Bawler has done on Athletic Bilbao

Result100%2/2
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Later fixtures

Thu 27 Aug@ Barcelona

Recent matches (last 4)

Sat 23 May@ Real Madrid
High confidence: 1X
Sun 17 Mayvs Celta Vigo
High confidence: 1X
Wed 13 May@ Espanyol
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 10 Mayvs Valencia
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

More on Athletic Bilbao and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly