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Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

Spain: La Liga

Athletic Bilbao operate as a balanced, defensively competent side with modest attacking output—1.56 xG per match alongside a controlled 1.37 conceded suggests a team playing within itself rather than dominating. Recent form has stalled sharply, yielding one draw and two losses across their last three settled fixtures, a concerning stretch that hints at either tactical drift or personnel issues. With no upcoming fixtures in the prediction window, Bawler's 67% banker hit rate on this squad's matches indicates the model has found reliable edges when positioned on their play, suggesting value persists in their next outing.

> Attack vs Defence (xG per match)
Goals scored (xG)1.45+0.01 vs league
Goals conceded (xG)1.47+0.02 vs league
◇ = Spain: La Liga average. Lower xG conceded is better.

How to read this: the green bar shows the average goals Athletic Bilbao were expected to score per match (their xG output). The red bar shows what opponents are expected to score against them. The diamond on each bar marks the Spain: La Liga average — if the bar extends past the diamond, Athletic Bilbao are above average there.

> xG performance · last 4 matches
01234vs Valencia: actual 0, xG 1.71@ Espanyol: actual 0, xG 1.55vs Celta Vigo: actual 1, xG 1.41@ Real Madrid: actual 2, xG 1.14Valenc@EspanyCelta @Real M
Goals scoredModel xGAggregate -2.8 goals vs xG (-0.70/game)

How to read this: the solid line is the goals Athletic Bilbao actually scored each match. The dashed line is the goals the model expected them to score (xG). When the solid line is above the dashed, they overperformed — they finished better than the chances they created suggested. When it's below, they underperformed. Persistent underperformance often regresses; a one-off gap usually doesn't.

> Form · last 4
Overall: 0W / 1D / 3L · Avg goals 0.8 for, 2.0 against

How to read this: each tile is one settled match, most recent first. Green = win, amber = draw, red = loss. Numbers show the actual scoreline from Athletic Bilbao's perspective. Tap a tile to see Bawler's full prediction for that match.

Matches Covered
4
4 settled
Avg xG Scored
1.45
per match
Avg xG Conceded
1.47
per match
Banker Hit Rate
75%
3/4 picks
> Bawler's record on Athletic Bilbao by market
Result100%2/2
Goals (Over/Under)50%1/2

How to read this: each row groups settled Banker picks Bawler issued on Athletic Bilbao fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Athletic Bilbao matches.

> Recent matches (last 4)

> More from Bawler