Barcelona beat Athletic Club 2–0. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Barcelona had 22 shots (10 on target) to Athletic Club's 5 (0), with 70% of the ball against 30%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Barcelona beat Athletic Club 2–0. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 67% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals; only 2 were scored. Barcelona had 22 shots (10 on target) to Athletic Club's 5 (0), with 70% of the ball against 30%.
Barcelona 2–0 Athletic Club, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Barcelona 67%, the draw 20% and Athletic Club 13%.
Full-time: Possession 70%–30%, Shots 22–5, Shots on target 10–0, Corners 12–5, Saves 0–8, Fouls 13–6, Offsides 8–5, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 2–0, so Athletic Club failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Barcelona to win 67%, it finished Barcelona won (67% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No.