Sevilla beat Athletic Club 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Athletic Club at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sevilla 21%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Athletic Club had 18 shots (8 on target) to Sevilla's 7 (4), with 65% of the ball against 35%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Sevilla beat Athletic Club 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Athletic Club at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sevilla 21%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Athletic Club had 18 shots (8 on target) to Sevilla's 7 (4), with 65% of the ball against 35%.
Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Athletic Club 53%, the draw 26% and Sevilla 21%.
Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Shots 18–7, Shots on target 8–4, Corners 10–3, Saves 2–6, Fouls 11–16, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–5, Red cards 1–0.
Yes — both Athletic Club and Sevilla scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Athletic Club or draw 79%, it finished Sevilla won (21% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Athletic Club to win 53%, it finished Missed.