Athletic Club vs Sevilla prediction — LaLiga · Sat 22 Aug · 16:00 UK

LaLiga · Sat 22 Aug · 16:00 UK
Athletic Club 53Draw 26Sevilla 21
Our call before kickoff
79%
Athletic Club or draw
Missed
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–3
Both teams score (before kick-off)
48%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
47%

How it finished

Sevilla beat Athletic Club 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Athletic Club at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sevilla 21%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Athletic Club had 18 shots (8 on target) to Sevilla's 7 (4), with 65% of the ball against 35%.

Athletic ClubFull-time statsSevilla
65%Possession35%
18Shots7
8Shots on target4
10Corners3
2Saves6
11Fouls16
0Offsides3
2Yellow cards5
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAthletic Club or draw 79%Sevilla won (21% called)
Total goals2.54
Both teams to score48%Yes
Second pickAthletic Club to win 53%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Athletic ClubSevilla
1.6
Goals+0.7
0.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Athletic Club to score80%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Sevilla to score60%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Athletic Club 3 · Draws 1 · Sevilla 1
Sevilla in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Jan 2026Sevilla 2–1 Athletic Club
Aug 2025Athletic Club 3–2 Sevilla
Mar 2025Sevilla 0–1 Athletic Club
Sept 2024Athletic Club 1–1 Sevilla
May 2024Athletic Club 2–0 Sevilla
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Athletic Club vs Sevilla?

Sevilla beat Athletic Club 3–1. Bawler's model favoured Athletic Club at 53% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Sevilla 21%. It forecast 2.5 goals; the match produced 4. Athletic Club had 18 shots (8 on target) to Sevilla's 7 (4), with 65% of the ball against 35%.

What was the final score in Athletic Club vs Sevilla?

Athletic Club 1–3 Sevilla, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Athletic Club 53%, the draw 26% and Sevilla 21%.

What were the stats in Athletic Club vs Sevilla?

Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Shots 18–7, Shots on target 8–4, Corners 10–3, Saves 2–6, Fouls 11–16, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–5, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Athletic Club vs Sevilla?

Yes — both Athletic Club and Sevilla scored, finishing 1–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 48% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Athletic Club vs Sevilla right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Athletic Club or draw 79%, it finished Sevilla won (21% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 48%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Athletic Club to win 53%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Athletic Club form →Sevilla form →