Valencia vs Celta Vigo prediction — LaLiga · Sat 22 Aug · 18:30 UK

LaLiga · Sat 22 Aug · 18:30 UK
Valencia 45Draw 28Celta Vigo 27
Our call before kickoff
73%
Valencia or draw
Landed
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
51%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
47%

How it finished

Valencia and Celta Vigo drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Valencia at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; nobody scored. Valencia had 8 shots (2 on target) to Celta Vigo's 7 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.7.

ValenciaFull-time statsCelta Vigo
44%Possession56%
0.6Expected goals (xG)0.7
8Shots7
2Shots on target3
4Shots inside box3
0Big chances1
1Corners2
3Saves2
17Fouls17
3Offsides2
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callValencia or draw 73%Draw (28% called)
Total goals2.50
Both teams to score51%No
Second pickUnder 2.5 goals 53%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

ValenciaCelta Vigo
1.5
Goals+0.4
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Valencia to score77%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Celta Vigo to score66%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Valencia 1 · Draws 1 · Celta Vigo 3
Celta Vigo in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Apr 2026Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo
Jan 2026Celta Vigo 4–1 Valencia
Feb 2025Valencia 2–1 Celta Vigo
Aug 2024Celta Vigo 3–1 Valencia
May 2024Celta Vigo 2–2 Valencia
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Valencia vs Celta Vigo?

Valencia and Celta Vigo drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Valencia at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; nobody scored. Valencia had 8 shots (2 on target) to Celta Vigo's 7 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Valencia vs Celta Vigo?

Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Valencia 45%, the draw 28% and Celta Vigo 27%.

What were the stats in Valencia vs Celta Vigo?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–0.7, Shots 8–7, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 4–3, Big chances 0–1, Corners 1–2, Saves 3–2, Fouls 17–17, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Valencia vs Celta Vigo?

No. It finished 0–0, so Valencia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Valencia vs Celta Vigo right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Valencia or draw 73%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Valencia form →Celta Vigo form →