Spain: La LigaSaturday 22 Aug, 17:30 UTC

Valencia vCelta Vigo

Most likely scoreline
1–0
13% of the time · 2.54 goals expected
Valencia 43%Draw 29%Celta Vigo 28%
How we get there
ValenciastepCelta Vigo
1.59Base xG · rolling 26-match0.95
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.59Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.95

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Valencia average 6.0 corners per game at home this season (19 competitive matches). Celta Vigo average 3.2 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
8
7
4
1
1
13
12
6
2
2
10
9
4
1
3
5
5
2
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Valencia fixtures & form →Celta Vigo fixtures & form →

Valencia vs Celta Vigo — Head-to-Head

In 1 recorded meeting since 5 April 2026, Valencia have won 0, Celta Vigo have won 1, with 0 drawn. This covers only matches in Bawler's own settled ledger — not an all-time head-to-head record.

DateResultCompetition
5 April 2026Valencia 2–3 Celta VigoSPAIN: LaLiga

The model's verdict for this fixture: Valencia 43% · draw 29% · Celta Vigo 28%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Valencia predictions & form →Celta Vigo predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.