Valencia and Celta Vigo drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Valencia at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; nobody scored. Valencia had 8 shots (2 on target) to Celta Vigo's 7 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Valencia and Celta Vigo drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Valencia at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 28%. It forecast 2.5 goals; nobody scored. Valencia had 8 shots (2 on target) to Celta Vigo's 7 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.6 to 0.7.
Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo, played on 22 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Valencia 45%, the draw 28% and Celta Vigo 27%.
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–0.7, Shots 8–7, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 4–3, Big chances 0–1, Corners 1–2, Saves 3–2, Fouls 17–17, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 2–3.
No. It finished 0–0, so Valencia failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Valencia or draw 73%, it finished Draw (28% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Under 2.5 goals 53%, it finished Landed.