Getafe vs Racing Santander prediction — LaLiga · Sun 23 Aug · 18:30 UK

LaLiga · Sun 23 Aug · 18:30 UK
Getafe 43Draw 30Racing Santander 28
Our call before kickoff
72%
Getafe or draw
Landed
2.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0
Both teams score (before kick-off)
46%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
40%

How it finished

Getafe beat Racing Santander 1–0. Bawler's model had Getafe in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Getafe had 12 shots (1 on target) to Racing Santander's 6 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.0.

GetafeFull-time statsRacing…
43%Possession57%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.0
12Shots6
1Shots on target3
5Shots inside box5
1Big chances2
8Corners6
3Saves0
14Fouls17
3Offsides2
1Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callGetafe or draw 72%Getafe won (43% called)
Total goals2.31
Both teams to score46%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

GetafeRacing Santander
1.3
Goals+0.3
1.0

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals80%
Getafe to score73%
Over 1.5 goals67%
Racing Santander to score63%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 4Getafe 2 · Draws 1 · Racing Santander 1
Racing Santander in their league tableLower half

Head to head

May 2012Getafe 1–1 Racing Santander
Jan 2012Racing Santander 1–2 Getafe
Feb 2011Getafe 0–1 Racing Santander
Sept 2010Racing Santander 0–1 Getafe
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Getafe vs Racing Santander?

Getafe beat Racing Santander 1–0. Bawler's model had Getafe in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.3 goals; only 1 was scored. Getafe had 12 shots (1 on target) to Racing Santander's 6 (3), with 43% of the ball against 57%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Getafe vs Racing Santander?

Getafe 1–0 Racing Santander, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Getafe 43%, the draw 30% and Racing Santander 28%.

What were the stats in Getafe vs Racing Santander?

Full-time: Possession 43%–57%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.0, Shots 12–6, Shots on target 1–3, Shots inside box 5–5, Big chances 1–2, Corners 8–6, Saves 3–0, Fouls 14–17, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in Getafe vs Racing Santander?

No. It finished 1–0, so Racing Santander failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Getafe vs Racing Santander right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Getafe or draw 72%, it finished Getafe won (43% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Getafe form →Racing Santander form →