Houston Dynamo FC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Houston Dynamo FC 13%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Vancouver Whitecaps had 17 shots (1 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 9 (5), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.6, so Vancouver Whitecaps created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Houston Dynamo FC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Houston Dynamo FC 13%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Vancouver Whitecaps had 17 shots (1 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 9 (5), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.6, so Vancouver Whitecaps created the better chances and still lost the game.
Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 Houston Dynamo FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Vancouver Whitecaps 66%, the draw 21% and Houston Dynamo FC 13%.
Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.6, Shots 17–9, Shots on target 1–5, Shots inside box 12–6, Big chances 2–2, Corners 8–2, Saves 3–1, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–2.
No. It finished 0–1, so Vancouver Whitecaps failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vancouver Whitecaps to win 66%, it finished Houston Dynamo FC won (13% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Vancouver Whitecaps or draw 87%, it finished Missed.