Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 03:30 UK
Vancouver Whitecaps 66Draw 21Houston Dynamo FC 13
Our call before kickoff
66%
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Missed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
49%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
56%

How it finished

Houston Dynamo FC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Houston Dynamo FC 13%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Vancouver Whitecaps had 17 shots (1 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 9 (5), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.6, so Vancouver Whitecaps created the better chances and still lost the game.

Vancouver…Full-time statsHouston…
63%Possession37%
1.3Expected goals (xG)0.6
17Shots9
1Shots on target5
12Shots inside box6
2Big chances2
8Corners2
3Saves1
13Fouls12
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callVancouver Whitecaps to win 66%Houston Dynamo FC won (13% called)
Total goals2.91
Both teams to score49%No
Graded pickVancouver Whitecaps or draw 87%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo FC
2.1
Goals+1.3
0.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first.

MarketProbability
Vancouver Whitecaps to score88%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Under 3.5 goals67%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Vancouver Whitecaps 1 · Draws 2 · Houston Dynamo FC 2
Houston Dynamo FC in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2026Houston Dynamo FC 1–0 Vancouver Whitecaps
Aug 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 Houston Dynamo FC
Jul 2025Houston Dynamo FC 0–3 Vancouver Whitecaps
Sept 2024Houston Dynamo FC 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Jul 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 3–4 Houston Dynamo FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Houston Dynamo FC beat Vancouver Whitecaps 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Vancouver Whitecaps at 66% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Houston Dynamo FC 13%. It forecast 2.9 goals; only 1 was scored. Vancouver Whitecaps had 17 shots (1 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 9 (5), with 63% of the ball against 37%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 0.6, so Vancouver Whitecaps created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Vancouver Whitecaps 0–1 Houston Dynamo FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Vancouver Whitecaps 66%, the draw 21% and Houston Dynamo FC 13%.

What were the stats in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Full-time: Possession 63%–37%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–0.6, Shots 17–9, Shots on target 1–5, Shots inside box 12–6, Big chances 2–2, Corners 8–2, Saves 3–1, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC?

No. It finished 0–1, so Vancouver Whitecaps failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Vancouver Whitecaps to win 66%, it finished Houston Dynamo FC won (13% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Vancouver Whitecaps or draw 87%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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