St. Louis CITY SC beat Houston Dynamo FC 2–1. Bawler's model had St. Louis CITY SC in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. St. Louis CITY SC had 9 shots (4 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 18 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
St. Louis CITY SC beat Houston Dynamo FC 2–1. Bawler's model had St. Louis CITY SC in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. St. Louis CITY SC had 9 shots (4 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 18 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.
St. Louis CITY SC 2–1 Houston Dynamo FC, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with St. Louis CITY SC 47%, the draw 27% and Houston Dynamo FC 26%.
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.2, Shots 9–18, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 2–1, Corners 1–5, Saves 3–2, Fouls 18–10, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 4–3.
Yes — both St. Louis CITY SC and Houston Dynamo FC scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said St. Louis CITY SC or draw 74%, it finished St. Louis CITY SC won (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed.