St. Louis CITY SC vs Houston Dynamo FC prediction — MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 01:30 UK

MLS · Sun 23 Aug · 01:30 UK
St. Louis CITY SC 47Draw 27Houston Dynamo FC 26
Our call before kickoff
74%
St. Louis CITY SC or draw
Landed
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Both teams score (before kick-off)
53%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
50%

How it finished

St. Louis CITY SC beat Houston Dynamo FC 2–1. Bawler's model had St. Louis CITY SC in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. St. Louis CITY SC had 9 shots (4 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 18 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.

St. Louis…Full-time statsHouston…
47%Possession53%
1.2Expected goals (xG)1.2
9Shots18
4Shots on target4
7Shots inside box10
2Big chances1
1Corners5
3Saves2
18Fouls10
1Offsides4
4Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callSt. Louis CITY SC or draw 74%St. Louis CITY SC won (47% called)
Total goals2.73
Both teams to score53%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 74%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

St. Louis CITY SCHouston Dynamo FC
1.6
Goals+0.5
1.1

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
St. Louis CITY SC to score79%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Under 3.5 goals72%
Houston Dynamo FC to score67%

No first-half forecast for this fixture.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5St. Louis CITY SC 1 · Draws 2 · Houston Dynamo FC 2
Houston Dynamo FC in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

May 2026St. Louis City 2–2 Houston Dynamo FC
Aug 2025St. Louis City 2–3 Houston Dynamo FC
Jun 2025Houston Dynamo FC 1–0 St. Louis City
Oct 2024St. Louis City 3–0 Houston Dynamo FC
May 2024Houston Dynamo FC 0–0 St. Louis City
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won St. Louis CITY SC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

St. Louis CITY SC beat Houston Dynamo FC 2–1. Bawler's model had St. Louis CITY SC in front at 47% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. St. Louis CITY SC had 9 shots (4 on target) to Houston Dynamo FC's 18 (4), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 1.2.

What was the final score in St. Louis CITY SC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

St. Louis CITY SC 2–1 Houston Dynamo FC, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with St. Louis CITY SC 47%, the draw 27% and Houston Dynamo FC 26%.

What were the stats in St. Louis CITY SC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.2, Shots 9–18, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 2–1, Corners 1–5, Saves 3–2, Fouls 18–10, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 4–3.

Did both teams score in St. Louis CITY SC vs Houston Dynamo FC?

Yes — both St. Louis CITY SC and Houston Dynamo FC scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Houston Dynamo FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said St. Louis CITY SC or draw 74%, it finished St. Louis CITY SC won (47% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 74%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →St. Louis CITY SC form →Houston Dynamo FC form →