Bawler / Spain: La Liga / Levante
Team profile

Levante Prediction

Per-game numbers from 38 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
12.5
a game
15.3 faced
On target
3.9
a game
5.2 faced
Goals
1.2 – 1.6
scored – conceded
a game, 38 matches
Next match
20%
Levante win chance
at Osasuna · Mon 24 Aug 17:30

Levante prediction: for Levante's next match — Osasuna vs Levante on Monday 24 Aug, 17:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Osasuna are favoured (54%).

Levante sit close to the La Liga average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.47 expected goals a game and conceding 1.48. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.60 a game against 1.47 expected. Recent form is good, with 4 wins in their last 5. Next up is a trip to Osasuna, where the model has them as underdogs at 20%.

Levante in numbers

38 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.2
Goals · per game
let in 1.6
Home 1.4Away 1.1
4.3
Corners · per game
give up 5.9
Home 5.2Away 3.3
12.5
Shots · per game
faced 15.3
Home 14.7Away 10.4
3.9
On target · per game
faced 5.2
Home 4.0Away 3.7
Last 6 games
23 May
1-2
@ Real Betis
8-4
17 May
2-0
vs Mallorca
4-6
12 May
3-2
@ Celta Vigo
4-4
08 May
3-2
vs Osasuna
15-1
02 May
1-5
@ Villarreal
3-7
27 Apr
0-0
@ Espanyol
4-4

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Osasuna · Monday 24 Aug, 17:30 UTC

Win
20%
Levante
Draw
26%
Loss
54%
Osasuna
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Levante compare with the Spain: La Liga average, per match.

Goals for
1.47
Above average
Goals against
1.48
Leakier than most
Record
4W 0D 1L
5 settled
Real goals
2.6 – 1.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.47
Conceded1.48

The grey line on each bar is the Spain: La Liga average (1.44 scored, 1.46 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Levante fixtures (5/5).

How Bawler has done on Levante

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 5 of 5, well above the ~65% baseline
Goals (Over/Under)100%5/5

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 5)

Sat 23 May@ Real Betis
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sun 17 Mayvs Mallorca
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Tue 12 May@ Celta Vigo
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 08 Mayvs Osasuna
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Sat 21 Marvs Oviedo
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals

Transfer activity

INHugo SoteloCMfrom Celta VigoLoan
INManuel SánchezLBfrom Celta VigoLoan
INThiago FernándezLWfrom VillarrealLoan
INYanis MusuayiSTfrom Club Brugge€3m
INEnzo BardeliAMfrom DunkerqueUndisclosed
INMathew RyanGKfrom Free agentFree transfer
INAïssa MandiCBfrom LilleFree transfer
INDani RequenaCMfrom VillarrealLoan
OUTCarlos EspíSTto Real Madrid€25m
OUTMathew RyanGKto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTPablo MartínezDMto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTDiego PampínLBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTJosé Luis MoralesSTto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTUnai ElgezabalCBto Free agentUndisclosed
OUTEdgar AlcañizDMto Atletico MadrilenoUndisclosed
OUTCayetano Romeroto Free agentUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Levante and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly