Osasuna vs Levante prediction — LaLiga · Mon 24 Aug · 18:30 UK

LaLiga · Mon 24 Aug · 18:30 UK
Osasuna 49Draw 26Levante 25
Our call before kickoff
75%
Osasuna or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
73%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
56%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

Osasuna and Levante drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Osasuna at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Osasuna had 12 shots (7 on target) to Levante's 11 (1), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.3.

OsasunaFull-time statsLevante
46%Possession54%
0.7Expected goals (xG)1.3
12Shots11
7Shots on target1
7Shots inside box5
2Big chances2
9Corners4
1Saves7
9Fouls12
5Offsides3
2Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callOsasuna or draw 75%Draw (26% called)
Total goals2.80
Both teams to score56%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Missed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

OsasunaLevante
1.7
Goals+0.5
1.2
18.4
Shots+8.4
9.9
6.6
On target+2.8
3.8
6.7
Corners+3.0
3.6
OsasunaLevante
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
8.7
Shots+4.3
4.4
3.1
On target+1.4
1.7
3.1
Corners+1.4
1.7
OsasunaLevante
1.1
Goals+0.4
0.8
9.7
Shots+4.1
5.5
3.5
On target+1.4
2.1
3.5
Corners+1.6
1.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Osasuna to score81%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Under 3.5 goals68%
Levante to score68%

First half — what we expected

Osasuna
56%
to score before half-time
Levante
39%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%

OsasunaLevante
8.71st-half shots4.4
3.11st-half shots on target1.7
3.11st-half corners1.7

First-half chances

59%Chance of 8+ shots13%
38%Chance of 10+ shots<10%
77%Chance of 2+ shots on target47%
36%Chance of 4+ shots on target11%
77%Chance of 2+ corners47%
38%Chance of 4+ corners12%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Osasuna8.79.7
Shots · Levante4.45.5
Shots on target · Osasuna3.13.5
Shots on target · Levante1.72.1
Corners · Osasuna3.13.5
Corners · Levante1.71.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Osasuna 3 · Draws 1 · Levante 1
Levante in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Levante 3–2 Osasuna
Dec 2025Osasuna 2–0 Levante
Mar 2022Osasuna 3–1 Levante
Dec 2021Levante 0–0 Osasuna
Feb 2021Levante 0–1 Osasuna
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Osasuna vs Levante?

Osasuna and Levante drew 0–0. Bawler's model favoured Osasuna at 49% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 2.8 goals; nobody scored. Osasuna had 12 shots (7 on target) to Levante's 11 (1), with 46% of the ball against 54%. Expected goals finished 0.7 to 1.3.

What was the final score in Osasuna vs Levante?

Osasuna 0–0 Levante, played on 24 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Osasuna 49%, the draw 26% and Levante 25%.

What were the stats in Osasuna vs Levante?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.3, Shots 12–11, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 7–5, Big chances 2–2, Corners 9–4, Saves 1–7, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 5–3, Yellow cards 2–1.

Did both teams score in Osasuna vs Levante?

No. It finished 0–0, so Osasuna failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Osasuna vs Levante right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Osasuna or draw 75%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 0; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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