How it finished
West Ham United beat Southampton 4–1. Bawler's model had West Ham United in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Southampton had 12 shots (4 on target) to West Ham United's 18 (8), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Southampton vs West Ham United?
West Ham United beat Southampton 4–1. Bawler's model had West Ham United in front at 43% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Southampton had 12 shots (4 on target) to West Ham United's 18 (8), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 2.5.
What was the final score in Southampton vs West Ham United?
Southampton 1–4 West Ham United, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Southampton 31%, the draw 26% and West Ham United 43%.
What were the stats in Southampton vs West Ham United?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–2.5, Shots 12–18, Shots on target 4–8, Shots inside box 6–14, Big chances 0–4, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–3, Fouls 7–8, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–0.
Did both teams score in Southampton vs West Ham United?
Yes — both Southampton and West Ham United scored, finishing 1–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Southampton vs West Ham United right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said West Ham United or draw 69%, it finished West Ham United won (43% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.