Bawler / England: Premier League / Wolverhampton
Team profile

Wolverhampton Prediction

Per-game numbers from 40 competitive matches · updated 16 August 2026

Shots
9.9
a game
13.8 faced
On target
3.2
a game
4.7 faced
Goals
0.8 – 1.8
scored – conceded
a game, 40 matches
Next match
24%
Wolverhampton win chance
at Preston · Sat 22 Aug 14:00

Wolverhampton prediction: for Wolverhampton's next match — Preston vs Wolverhampton on Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Preston are favoured (42%).

Wolverhampton sit close to the Premier League average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.12 expected goals a game and conceding 1.46. Next up is a trip to Preston North End, where the model has them as underdogs at 24%.

Wolverhampton in numbers

40 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
0.8
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
Home 1.1Away 0.4
3.4
Corners · per game
give up 5.9
Home 3.2Away 3.7
9.9
Shots · per game
faced 13.8
Home 10.6Away 9.3
3.2
On target · per game
faced 4.7
Home 3.5Away 2.9
Last 6 games
14 Aug
2-2
vs Blackburn
5-5
07 Aug
3-0
vs Port Vale
-
24 May
1-1
@ Burnley
7-7
17 May
1-1
vs Fulham
3-6
09 May
0-3
@ Brighton
1-7
02 May
1-1
vs Sunderland
6-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's predictions →

Next match

Away vs Preston · Saturday 22 Aug, 14:00 UTC

Win
24%
This team
Draw
34%
Loss
42%
Preston
Full match preview

Attack vs defence

How Wolverhampton compare with the England: Premier League average, per match.

Goals for
1.12
Below average
Goals against
1.46
Tighter than most
Record
1W 4D 2L
7 settled
Real goals
1.1 – 1.6
For / against, per match
Scored1.12
Conceded1.46

The grey line on each bar is the England: Premier League average (1.44 scored, 1.47 conceded).

What the data says
Misfiring in attack
Averaging 1.12 xG per match · -0.32 above the England: Premier League average of 1.44.
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Wolverhampton fixtures (6/6).

How Bawler has done on Wolverhampton

100%
of high-confidence calls correct — 7 of 7, well above the ~65% baseline
Result100%6/6

Each row is one market type. Every prediction logged before kickoff, settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 7)

Fri 14 Augvs Blackburn Rovers
High confidence: Over 1.5 Goals
Fri 07 Augvs Port Vale
High confidence: Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw
Sun 24 May@ Burnley
High confidence: X2
Sun 17 Mayvs Fulham
High confidence: X2
Sat 09 May@ Brighton & Hove Albion
High confidence: 1X
Sat 02 Mayvs Sunderland
High confidence: X2
Sat 18 Apr@ Leeds
High confidence: 1X

Transfer activity

INRafiki SaïdLWfrom Standard Liege€10m
INLadislav KrejcíCBfrom Girona€7.5m
INRaul JiménezSTfrom FulhamFree transfer
INKieran TrippierRBfrom Newcastle UnitedFree transfer
OUTJoão GomesCMto Aston Villa€40m
OUTTolu ArokodareSTto AjaxLoan
OUTMatt DohertyCBto Sheffield UnitedFree transfer
OUTLeon ChiwomeSTto Colchester UnitedLoan
OUTNigel LonwijkRBto Maccabi Haifa€600k
OUTAlfie PondCBto ChesterfieldFree transfer
OUTLuke RawlingsDMto Exeter CityLoan

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

More on Wolverhampton and the model

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly