How it finished
St Johnstone beat Aberdeen 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Aberdeen at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave St Johnstone 30%. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Aberdeen had 22 shots (5 on target) to St Johnstone's 5 (1), with 65% of the ball against 35%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Aberdeen created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 63%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Aberdeen vs St Johnstone?
St Johnstone beat Aberdeen 1–0. Bawler's model favoured Aberdeen at 42% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave St Johnstone 30%. It forecast 2.6 goals; only 1 was scored. Aberdeen had 22 shots (5 on target) to St Johnstone's 5 (1), with 65% of the ball against 35%. On expected goals it was 1.2 to 1.1, so Aberdeen created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Aberdeen vs St Johnstone?
Aberdeen 0–1 St Johnstone, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Scotland: Scottish Prem. Bawler's model had gone into it with Aberdeen 42%, the draw 28% and St Johnstone 30%.
What were the stats in Aberdeen vs St Johnstone?
Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–1.1, Shots 22–5, Shots on target 5–1, Shots inside box 15–5, Big chances 1–2, Corners 13–2, Saves 0–5, Fouls 7–10, Offsides 0–0.
Did both teams score in Aberdeen vs St Johnstone?
No. It finished 0–1, so Aberdeen failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 52% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Aberdeen vs St Johnstone right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Aberdeen or draw 70%, it finished St Johnstone won (30% called); Total goals — we said 2.6, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 52%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 73%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Both teams to score 52%, it finished Missed.