What we expect
Our forecast for this match.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
Ranked by our probability, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expect
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 54%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Bawler's model rates this match: Abha are favoured (40% win probability vs 31% for Al Faisaly, 29% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Abha vs Al Faisaly?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Abha 1-1 Al Faisaly (13.8% probability). Expected total goals: 2.4.
How does Bawler predict Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Abha 40%, the draw 29% and Al Faisaly 31%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Probably not — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 48% chance, so at least one side is more likely than not to keep a clean sheet. That is based on Abha expecting 1.28 goals and Al Faisaly 1.11.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Abha vs Al Faisaly?
Bawler's model expects 2.4 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 43%.