Académico de Viseu vs Estoril prediction — Liga Portugal · Sat 10 Oct · 20:30 UK

Liga Portugal · Sat 10 Oct · 20:30 UK
Académico de Viseu 55Draw 24Estoril 21
Our call before kickoff
79%
Académico de Viseu or draw
Landed
2.9
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
72%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
54%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
55%

How it finished

Académico de Viseu beat Estoril 2–1. Bawler's model had Académico de Viseu in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Académico de Viseu had 15 shots (6 on target) to Estoril's 15 (9), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 1.4, so Estoril created the better chances and still lost the game.

Académico de…Full-time statsEstoril
51%Possession49%
0.7Expected goals (xG)1.4
15Shots15
6Shots on target9
7Shots inside box10
0Big chances3
2Corners5
8Saves3
24Fouls9
1Offsides1
3Yellow cards1
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAcadémico de Viseu or draw 79%Académico de Viseu won (55% called)
Total goals2.93
Both teams to score54%Yes
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 55%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Académico de ViseuEstoril
1.8
Goals+0.8
1.0
Académico de ViseuEstoril
0.6
Goals+0.2
0.4
Académico de ViseuEstoril
1.3
Goals+0.6
0.7

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Académico de Viseu to score84%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Under 3.5 goals67%
Estoril to score65%

First half — what we expected

Académico de Viseu
56%
to score before half-time
Estoril
37%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%

Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.

Model inputs

Académico de Viseu form (last 6)D L W W W W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.8 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Académico de Viseu 2 · Draws 0 · Estoril 3
Estoril in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Dec 2022Académico Viseu 3–2 Estoril
Feb 2021Estoril 3–0 Académico Viseu
Sept 2020Académico Viseu 0–2 Estoril
Nov 2019Estoril 3–1 Académico Viseu
May 2019Estoril 1–3 Académico Viseu
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Académico de Viseu vs Estoril?

Académico de Viseu beat Estoril 2–1. Bawler's model had Académico de Viseu in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Académico de Viseu had 15 shots (6 on target) to Estoril's 15 (9), with 51% of the ball against 49%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 1.4, so Estoril created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Académico de Viseu vs Estoril?

Académico de Viseu 2–1 Estoril, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Académico de Viseu 55%, the draw 24% and Estoril 21%.

What were the stats in Académico de Viseu vs Estoril?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–1.4, Shots 15–15, Shots on target 6–9, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 0–3, Corners 2–5, Saves 8–3, Fouls 24–9, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in Académico de Viseu vs Estoril?

Yes — both Académico de Viseu and Estoril scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Académico de Viseu vs Estoril right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Académico de Viseu or draw 79%, it finished Académico de Viseu won (55% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished Yes; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Liga Portugal table →
All fixtures & results →Académico de Viseu form →Estoril form →