ADO Den Haag and SC Cambuur drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured ADO Den Haag at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. ADO Den Haag had 18 shots (6 on target) to SC Cambuur's 8 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
ADO Den Haag and SC Cambuur drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured ADO Den Haag at 45% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 23%. It forecast 3.5 goals; only 2 were scored. ADO Den Haag had 18 shots (6 on target) to SC Cambuur's 8 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.1 to 0.5.
ADO Den Haag 1–1 SC Cambuur, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with ADO Den Haag 45%, the draw 23% and SC Cambuur 31%.
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.1–0.5, Shots 18–8, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 14–6, Big chances 2–0, Corners 6–3, Saves 2–5, Fouls 22–13, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
Yes — both ADO Den Haag and SC Cambuur scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 67% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said ADO Den Haag or draw 69%, it finished Draw (23% called); Total goals — we said 3.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 67%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 86%, it finished Landed.