Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 15:55 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sat 10 Oct · 15:55 UK
Al Ettifaq 41Draw 26Al Khaleej 33
Our call before kickoff
67%
Al Ettifaq or draw
Landed
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–1
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
76%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
60%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
57%

How it finished

Al Ettifaq and Al Khaleej drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Ettifaq at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Ettifaq had 23 shots (9 on target) to Al Khaleej's 11 (4), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.7.

Al EttifaqFull-time statsAl Khaleej
60%Possession40%
1.6Expected goals (xG)2.7
23Shots11
9Shots on target4
15Shots inside box9
3Big chances6
11Corners3
3Saves8
11Fouls10
3Offsides3
3Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Ettifaq or draw 67%Draw (26% called)
Total goals3.02
Both teams to score60%Yes
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 80%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al EttifaqAl Khaleej
1.6
Goals+0.2
1.4
14.4
Shots+0.7
13.7
5.6
On target+3.2
2.4
5.9
Corners+2.3
3.6
Al EttifaqAl Khaleej
0.6
Goals+0.1
0.4
7.0
Shots+0.5
6.4
2.7
On target+1.6
1.0
2.8
Corners+1.1
1.7
Al EttifaqAl Khaleej
1.0
Goals+0.1
1.0
7.4
Shots+0.1
7.3
2.9
On target+1.6
1.3
3.1
Corners+1.2
1.9

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals80%
Al Ettifaq to score79%
Al Khaleej to score75%
Under 3.5 goals65%

First half — what we expected

Al Ettifaq
57%
to score before half-time
Al Khaleej
43%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%

Al EttifaqAl Khaleej
7.01st-half shots6.4
2.71st-half shots on target1.0
2.81st-half corners1.7

First-half chances

64%Chance of 6+ shots57%
39%Chance of 8+ shots33%
70%Chance of 2+ shots on target27%
29%Chance of 4+ shots on target<10%
71%Chance of 2+ corners47%
31%Chance of 4+ corners12%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Ettifaq7.07.4
Shots · Al Khaleej6.47.3
Shots on target · Al Ettifaq2.72.9
Shots on target · Al Khaleej1.01.3
Corners · Al Ettifaq2.83.1
Corners · Al Khaleej1.71.9
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Al Ettifaq form (last 6)L L W D D D
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Ettifaq 4 · Draws 0 · Al Khaleej 1
Al Khaleej in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Al Khaleej 0–5 Al-Ettifaq
Jan 2026Al-Ettifaq 1–2 Al Khaleej
May 2025Al-Ettifaq 2–1 Al Khaleej
Dec 2024Al Khaleej 1–2 Al-Ettifaq
Feb 2024Al Khaleej 0–2 Al-Ettifaq
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej?

Al Ettifaq and Al Khaleej drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Al Ettifaq at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Al Ettifaq had 23 shots (9 on target) to Al Khaleej's 11 (4), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 2.7.

What was the final score in Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej?

Al Ettifaq 1–1 Al Khaleej, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Ettifaq 41%, the draw 26% and Al Khaleej 33%.

What were the stats in Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–2.7, Shots 23–11, Shots on target 9–4, Shots inside box 15–9, Big chances 3–6, Corners 11–3, Saves 3–8, Fouls 11–10, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 3–4.

Did both teams score in Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej?

Yes — both Al Ettifaq and Al Khaleej scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Ettifaq or draw 67%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

Saudi Pro League table →
All fixtures & results →Al Ettifaq form →Al Khaleej form →