How it finished
Al Nassr beat Al Diriyah 3–0. Bawler's model had Al Nassr in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Al Nassr had 17 shots (10 on target) to Al Diriyah's 10 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 0.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
Al Nassr beat Al Diriyah 3–0. Bawler's model had Al Nassr in front at 58% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. Al Nassr had 17 shots (10 on target) to Al Diriyah's 10 (1), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 2.5 to 0.6.
What was the final score in Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
Al Nassr 3–0 Al Diriyah, played on 09 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Nassr 58%, the draw 24% and Al Diriyah 18%.
What were the stats in Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 2.5–0.6, Shots 17–10, Shots on target 10–1, Shots inside box 14–8, Big chances 6–1, Corners 10–8, Saves 1–6, Fouls 15–4, Offsides 3–2, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
No. It finished 3–0, so Al Diriyah failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 50% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Nassr or draw 82%, it finished Al Nassr won (58% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 50%, it finished No; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 51%, it finished Landed.