Al Shabab beat Al Taawoun 3–0. Bawler's model had Al Shabab in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Al Shabab had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Taawoun's 18 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.5, so Al Taawoun created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Al Shabab beat Al Taawoun 3–0. Bawler's model had Al Shabab in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Al Shabab had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Taawoun's 18 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.5, so Al Taawoun created the better chances and still lost the game.
Al Shabab 3–0 Al Taawoun, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Shabab 40%, the draw 25% and Al Taawoun 35%.
Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.5, Shots 14–18, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 9–15, Big chances 2–1, Corners 3–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–17, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–3.
No. It finished 3–0, so Al Taawoun failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Shabab or draw 65%, it finished Al Shabab won (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.