Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun prediction — Saudi Pro League · Sun 11 Oct · 19:00 UK

Saudi Pro League · Sun 11 Oct · 19:00 UK
Al Shabab 40Draw 25Al Taawoun 35
Our call before kickoff
65%
Al Shabab or draw
Landed
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
80%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
64%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
62%

How it finished

Al Shabab beat Al Taawoun 3–0. Bawler's model had Al Shabab in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Al Shabab had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Taawoun's 18 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.5, so Al Taawoun created the better chances and still lost the game.

Al ShababFull-time statsAl Taawoun
30%Possession70%
1.5Expected goals (xG)2.5
14Shots18
5Shots on target3
9Shots inside box15
2Big chances1
3Corners4
2Saves4
13Fouls17
2Offsides2
2Yellow cards3
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAl Shabab or draw 65%Al Shabab won (40% called)
Total goals3.23
Both teams to score64%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 83%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

Al ShababAl Taawoun
1.6
Goals+0.1
1.5
19.8
Shots+3.8
16.0
5.3
On target+1.0
4.3
8.3
Corners+0.3
8.6
Al ShababAl Taawoun
0.6
Goals
0.5
9.4
Shots+1.8
7.6
2.5
On target+0.3
2.1
3.9
Corners+0.1
4.0
Al ShababAl Taawoun
1.1
Goals+0.1
1.0
10.4
Shots+2.0
8.4
2.8
On target+0.6
2.2
4.4
Corners+0.1
4.6

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals83%
Al Shabab to score81%
Al Taawoun to score79%
Over 2.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

Al Shabab
56%
to score before half-time
Al Taawoun
55%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 80%

Al ShababAl Taawoun
9.41st-half shots7.6
2.51st-half shots on target2.1
3.91st-half corners4.0

First-half chances

66%Chance of 8+ shots47%
45%Chance of 10+ shots27%
89%Chance of 1+ shots on target85%
44%Chance of 3+ shots on target36%
70%Chance of 3+ corners72%
36%Chance of 5+ corners38%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Al Shabab9.410.4
Shots · Al Taawoun7.68.4
Shots on target · Al Shabab2.52.8
Shots on target · Al Taawoun2.12.2
Corners · Al Shabab3.94.4
Corners · Al Taawoun4.04.6
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Al Shabab form (last 6)D D L L D W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Al Shabab 1 · Draws 1 · Al Taawoun 3
Al Taawoun in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

May 2026Al Shabab 1–5 Al-Taawoun
Jan 2026Al-Taawoun 2–0 Al Shabab
Feb 2025Al-Taawoun 2–2 Al Shabab
Sept 2024Al Shabab 1–0 Al-Taawoun
May 2024Al-Taawoun 1–0 Al Shabab
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

Al Shabab beat Al Taawoun 3–0. Bawler's model had Al Shabab in front at 40% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.2 goals and the match produced 3. Al Shabab had 14 shots (5 on target) to Al Taawoun's 18 (3), with 30% of the ball against 70%. On expected goals it was 1.5 to 2.5, so Al Taawoun created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

Al Shabab 3–0 Al Taawoun, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Saudi Arabia: Saudi Pro League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Al Shabab 40%, the draw 25% and Al Taawoun 35%.

What were the stats in Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

Full-time: Possession 30%–70%, Expected goals (xG) 1.5–2.5, Shots 14–18, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 9–15, Big chances 2–1, Corners 3–4, Saves 2–4, Fouls 13–17, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 2–3.

Did both teams score in Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun?

No. It finished 3–0, so Al Taawoun failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Al Shabab or draw 65%, it finished Al Shabab won (40% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 83%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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