How it finished
Alverca beat Rio Ave 1–0. Bawler's model had Alverca in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Alverca had 23 shots (6 on target) to Rio Ave's 6 (3), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.3 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 52%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Alverca vs Rio Ave?
Alverca beat Rio Ave 1–0. Bawler's model had Alverca in front at 49% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.7 goals; only 1 was scored. Alverca had 23 shots (6 on target) to Rio Ave's 6 (3), with 47% of the ball against 53%. Expected goals finished 3.3 to 0.3.
What was the final score in Alverca vs Rio Ave?
Alverca 1–0 Rio Ave, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Alverca 49%, the draw 26% and Rio Ave 25%.
What were the stats in Alverca vs Rio Ave?
Full-time: Possession 47%–53%, Expected goals (xG) 3.3–0.3, Shots 23–6, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 16–1, Big chances 4–0, Corners 8–3, Saves 3–5, Fouls 12–8, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in Alverca vs Rio Ave?
No. It finished 1–0, so Rio Ave failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Alverca vs Rio Ave right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Alverca or draw 75%, it finished Alverca won (49% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Missed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Missed.