Angers vs Troyes prediction — Ligue 1 · Sat 19 Sept · 19:45 UK

Ligue 1 · Sat 19 Sept · 19:45 UK
Angers 42Draw 26Troyes 32
Our call before kickoff
68%
Angers or draw
Landed
2.8
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
77%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
57%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
54%

How it finished

Angers beat Troyes 2–0. Bawler's model had Angers in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Angers had 12 shots (3 on target) to Troyes' 19 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.0.

AngersFull-time statsTroyes
61%Possession39%
2.3Expected goals (xG)1.0
12Shots19
3Shots on target3
8Shots inside box13
3Big chances1
2Corners11
3Saves1
14Fouls15
3Offsides3
3Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callAngers or draw 68%Angers won (42% called)
Total goals2.82
Both teams to score57%No
Graded pickOver 1.5 goals 77%Landed
Second pickOver 2.5 goals 54%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

AngersTroyes
1.5
Goals+0.2
1.3
17.8
Shots+2.0
15.8
4.2
On target+1.0
3.2
11.2
Corners+4.1
7.1
AngersTroyes
0.4
Goals+0.2
0.6
7.7
Shots+0.5
7.2
1.8
On target+0.2
1.6
5.3
Corners+1.9
3.3
AngersTroyes
1.1
Goals+0.4
0.7
10.1
Shots+1.5
8.6
2.4
On target+0.8
1.6
5.9
Corners+2.2
3.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Angers to score78%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Troyes to score73%
Under 3.5 goals69%

First half — what we expected

Angers
43%
to score before half-time
Troyes
60%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 77%

AngersTroyes
7.71st-half shots7.2
1.81st-half shots on target1.6
5.31st-half corners3.3

First-half chances

60%Chance of 7+ shots54%
37%Chance of 9+ shots32%
79%Chance of 1+ shots on target75%
27%Chance of 3+ shots on target22%
72%Chance of 4+ corners41%
42%Chance of 6+ corners15%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Angers7.710.1
Shots · Troyes7.28.6
Shots on target · Angers1.82.4
Shots on target · Troyes1.61.6
Corners · Angers5.35.9
Corners · Troyes3.33.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (home minus away)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Angers 4 · Draws 0 · Troyes 1
Troyes in their league tableBottom quarter

Head to head

Apr 2024Angers 2–1 Troyes
Dec 2023Troyes 1–4 Angers
May 2023Angers 2–1 Troyes
Aug 2022Troyes 3–1 Angers
Jan 2022Angers 2–1 Troyes
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Angers vs Troyes?

Angers beat Troyes 2–0. Bawler's model had Angers in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.8 goals; only 2 were scored. Angers had 12 shots (3 on target) to Troyes' 19 (3), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 1.0.

What was the final score in Angers vs Troyes?

Angers 2–0 Troyes, played on 19 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Angers 42%, the draw 26% and Troyes 32%.

What were the stats in Angers vs Troyes?

Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–1.0, Shots 12–19, Shots on target 3–3, Shots inside box 8–13, Big chances 3–1, Corners 2–11, Saves 3–1, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 3–2.

Did both teams score in Angers vs Troyes?

No. It finished 2–0, so Troyes failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Angers vs Troyes right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Angers or draw 68%, it finished Angers won (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.8, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 77%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 54%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
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