How it finished
Atalanta beat Sassuolo 2–1. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Atalanta had 14 shots (7 on target) to Sassuolo's 22 (8), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 2.7, so Sassuolo created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Shots and corners are not shown for this fixture — we do not have enough counted matches for these sides yet.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
No first-half forecast for this fixture.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
Atalanta beat Sassuolo 2–1. Bawler's model had Atalanta in front at 55% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Atalanta had 14 shots (7 on target) to Sassuolo's 22 (8), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 0.7 to 2.7, so Sassuolo created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
Atalanta 2–1 Sassuolo, played on 23 Aug 2026 in the ITALY: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Atalanta 55%, the draw 24% and Sassuolo 21%.
What were the stats in Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 0.7–2.7, Shots 14–22, Shots on target 7–8, Shots inside box 8–12, Big chances 1–4, Corners 4–4, Saves 7–5, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 0–1.
Did both teams score in Atalanta vs Sassuolo?
Yes — both Atalanta and Sassuolo scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Atalanta vs Sassuolo right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Atalanta or draw 79%, it finished Atalanta won (55% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes.