Barcelona beat Getafe 3–0. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Barcelona had 23 shots (8 on target) to Getafe's 4 (1), with 83% of the ball against 17%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Barcelona beat Getafe 3–0. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Barcelona had 23 shots (8 on target) to Getafe's 4 (1), with 83% of the ball against 17%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.1.
Barcelona 3–0 Getafe, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Barcelona 75%, the draw 17% and Getafe 8%.
Full-time: Possession 83%–17%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.1, Shots 23–4, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 16–1, Big chances 7–0, Corners 9–2, Saves 1–5, Fouls 9–11, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–4.
No. It finished 3–0, so Getafe failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Barcelona to win 75%, it finished Barcelona won (75% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.