Barcelona vs Getafe prediction — LaLiga · Sat 10 Oct · 17:30 UK

LaLiga · Sat 10 Oct · 17:30 UK
Barcelona 75Draw 17Getafe 8
Our call before kickoff
75%
Barcelona to win
Landed
3.1
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
74%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
46%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
60%

How it finished

Barcelona beat Getafe 3–0. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Barcelona had 23 shots (8 on target) to Getafe's 4 (1), with 83% of the ball against 17%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.1.

BarcelonaFull-time statsGetafe
83%Possession17%
1.9Expected goals (xG)0.1
23Shots4
8Shots on target1
16Shots inside box1
7Big chances0
9Corners2
1Saves5
9Fouls11
1Offsides3
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
Our callBarcelona to win 75%Barcelona won (75% called)
Total goals3.13
Both teams to score46%No

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

What we expected before kickoff.

BarcelonaGetafe
2.4
Goals+1.7
0.7
17.0
Shots+9.5
7.5
8.4
On target+6.1
2.4
7.3
Corners+3.8
3.5
BarcelonaGetafe
0.7
Goals+0.4
0.3
8.1
Shots+4.7
3.3
3.8
On target+2.9
1.0
3.4
Corners+1.8
1.6
BarcelonaGetafe
1.8
Goals+1.3
0.4
8.9
Shots+4.8
4.2
4.6
On target+3.2
1.4
3.9
Corners+2.0
1.8

Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.

Our numbers, most likely first

What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.

MarketProbability
Barcelona to score91%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Under 3.5 goals62%
Over 2.5 goals60%

First half — what we expected

Barcelona
66%
to score before half-time
Getafe
26%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 74%

BarcelonaGetafe
8.11st-half shots3.3
3.81st-half shots on target1.0
3.41st-half corners1.6

First-half chances

64%Chance of 7+ shots<10%
41%Chance of 9+ shots<10%
70%Chance of 3+ shots on target<10%
34%Chance of 5+ shots on target<10%
81%Chance of 2+ corners45%
43%Chance of 4+ corners11%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Barcelona8.18.9
Shots · Getafe3.34.2
Shots on target · Barcelona3.84.6
Shots on target · Getafe1.01.4
Corners · Barcelona3.43.9
Corners · Getafe1.61.8
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).

Model inputs

Barcelona form (last 6)W W W W W W
Expected goals gap (home minus away)+1.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5Barcelona 4 · Draws 1 · Getafe 0
Getafe in their league tableLower half

Head to head

Apr 2026Getafe 0–2 Barcelona
Sept 2025Barcelona 3–0 Getafe
Jan 2025Getafe 1–1 Barcelona
Sept 2024Barcelona 1–0 Getafe
Feb 2024Barcelona 4–0 Getafe
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Barcelona vs Getafe?

Barcelona beat Getafe 3–0. Bawler's model had Barcelona in front at 75% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Barcelona had 23 shots (8 on target) to Getafe's 4 (1), with 83% of the ball against 17%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 0.1.

What was the final score in Barcelona vs Getafe?

Barcelona 3–0 Getafe, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Barcelona 75%, the draw 17% and Getafe 8%.

What were the stats in Barcelona vs Getafe?

Full-time: Possession 83%–17%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–0.1, Shots 23–4, Shots on target 8–1, Shots inside box 16–1, Big chances 7–0, Corners 9–2, Saves 1–5, Fouls 9–11, Offsides 1–3, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Barcelona vs Getafe?

No. It finished 3–0, so Getafe failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Barcelona vs Getafe right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Barcelona to win 75%, it finished Barcelona won (75% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.

Around this fixture

LaLiga table →
All fixtures & results →Barcelona form →Getafe form →