How it finished
Brentford beat Birmingham City 6–1. Bawler's model had Brentford in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Birmingham City had 8 shots (2 on target) to Brentford's 17 (8), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 2.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Birmingham City vs Brentford?
Brentford beat Birmingham City 6–1. Bawler's model had Brentford in front at 59% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 7. Birmingham City had 8 shots (2 on target) to Brentford's 17 (8), with 31% of the ball against 69%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 2.1.
What was the final score in Birmingham City vs Brentford?
Birmingham City 1–6 Brentford, played on 25 Aug 2026 in the ENGLAND: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Birmingham City 18%, the draw 23% and Brentford 59%.
What were the stats in Birmingham City vs Brentford?
Full-time: Possession 31%–69%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–2.1, Shots 8–17, Shots on target 2–8, Shots inside box 2–13, Big chances 1–2, Corners 4–6, Saves 2–1, Fouls 9–12, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 2–1.
Did both teams score in Birmingham City vs Brentford?
Yes — both Birmingham City and Brentford scored, finishing 1–6. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Birmingham City vs Brentford right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Brentford or draw 82%, it finished Brentford won (59% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 7; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes.